Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.060837 0.071434 0.083268 0.097454 0.113992 0.132658 0.155321
2025-08-03 0.044983 0.058910 0.076161 0.099070 0.128665 0.165586 0.215135
2025-08-10 0.036314 0.051729 0.072409 0.102106 0.143596 0.199442 0.280281
2025-08-17 0.028610 0.043714 0.065365 0.098543 0.147993 0.218848 0.327995
2025-08-24 0.023910 0.038820 0.061450 0.098127 0.155914 0.243276 0.385197
2025-08-31 0.020142 0.034536 0.057535 0.096727 0.161619 0.264518 0.439771
2025-09-07 0.017837 0.032136 0.056070 0.098745 0.172639 0.294951 0.512299
2025-09-14 0.015449 0.029154 0.053114 0.097684 0.178145 0.316751 0.572952
2025-09-21 0.013277 0.026178 0.049677 0.095165 0.180568 0.333299 0.626226
2025-09-28 0.011425 0.023484 0.046320 0.092226 0.181667 0.347370 0.676424
2025-10-05 0.010498 0.022429 0.045854 0.094620 0.192945 0.381145 0.767054
2025-10-12 0.009520 0.021110 0.044671 0.095399 0.201095 0.409825 0.851165
2025-10-19 0.008631 0.019868 0.043517 0.096178 0.209560 0.440547 0.944091
2025-10-26 0.007900 0.018858 0.042713 0.097589 0.219556 0.475620 1.050535
2025-11-02 0.007376 0.018229 0.042631 0.100544 0.233217 0.519850 1.181706
2025-11-09 0.006445 0.016498 0.039848 0.097027 0.232069 0.532326 1.245410
2025-11-16 0.005840 0.015458 0.038496 0.096615 0.237895 0.560680 1.347910
2025-11-23 0.005250 0.014357 0.036841 0.095236 0.241236 0.583762 1.441021
2025-11-30 0.004913 0.013855 0.036576 0.097224 0.252932 0.627456 1.587876
2025-12-07 0.004455 0.012959 0.035190 0.096179 0.256957 0.653395 1.694900
2025-12-14 0.003982 0.011943 0.033352 0.093698 0.256987 0.669591 1.779710
2025-12-21 0.003545 0.010961 0.031461 0.090803 0.255542 0.681913 1.856148
2025-12-28 0.003363 0.010692 0.031482 0.093161 0.268490 0.732432 2.037939